Bellcow GM / Sample GM Plan
A sample GM plan
What you get every morning of the season · last reviewed 25 August 2026
Nothing on this page is real. “Cornfield Coalition” is a made-up league, the twelve teams are made up, and every player named here is invented — there is no Marcus Ollenberg. We built this page from the same layout, the same wording and the same rules the product uses, so you can see exactly what a plan looks like before you pay. It is not football advice, and no customer's league was used to make it.
Bellcow gives you three moves a day, ranked by what each one does to your championship odds. Not a top-200 list, not “consider adding a tight end” — the exact player, the exact drop, the exact bid, and the reason. Here is one Tuesday morning in full.
The board
Claim Marcus Ollenberg (TE, DEN) — drop Reggie Vance
- Adds +2.9 pts/week to your optimal lineup.
- +3.4 pts/game over your replacement-level TE.
- Snap share went 41% → 68% over three weeks and the red-zone looks came with it.
- Your league's winning bids run $9 median, $21 at the high end (34 claims) — this bid is sized against that, not a generic percentage.
How: Waivers → ADD Marcus Ollenberg, DROP Reggie Vance, BID $14 (aggressive $19, conservative $10; $87 of $100 left). Acquisition odds ~72%.
Offer Deion Rawls to Harvest Hooligans for Terrance Bly
- Your lineup: +2.4 pts/week.
- Their lineup: +1.1 pts/week — they need WR and have RB depth. Bellcow will not propose a deal that makes the other manager worse, because those deals don't get accepted.
- Acceptance estimate: 64% (modeled).
- Championship odds +2.2 pts (modeled, ±0.9).
How: Send to Harvest Hooligans — you give Deion Rawls, you receive Terrance Bly. Bellcow drafts the offer; you submit it on your platform.
Backup claim: Kenny Prewitt (WR, CAR) — you have an open spot
- Box score says 4.2 points, but snap share moved 22% → 31% → 47% and targets climbed — the opportunity is arriving before the production.
- Free right now. Next Tuesday he costs roughly $20 based on how your league has been bidding.
- You have an open bench spot — this costs you nothing and no one has to be dropped.
- He isn't in your starting lineup yet, so this doesn't move your title odds today. It's an option on the role, not an upgrade.
How: Free agents → ADD Kenny Prewitt. No drop needed.
to call
Plan confidence: HIGH · 1,500 season simulations · 1,071 projections · league synced 12 minutes ago
Why the third card has no number
Because the simulation could not tell the change apart from zero. Championship odds come from 1,500 simulated seasons run in fifteen paired batches; every batch scores your roster with and without the move using the same random draws, so the difference reflects the roster change and not the dice. Bellcow prints a figure only when it is more than twice its own standard error. Everything else says “too close to call”, which is the honest answer and the one most tools won't give you.
A verified consequence: a move that changes nothing now measures exactly 0.00 points. Before that fix, the same no-op could print anything inside roughly ±1.9 points of noise. How Bellcow thinks →
Also considered
The plan is three moves. Bellcow ranks everything it found and shows you the rest rather than padding the board to look busy.
Start Avery Kolb over Duane Pitts at FLEX — +1.1 projected points, win probability 54% → 56% vs Harvest Hooligans. Worth doing Sunday morning; not worth ranking above a roster upgrade.
Offer Reggie Vance to Silo Wreckers for Jonah Speare — your lineup +0.9/week, theirs +0.4/week, acceptance 41%. Real but marginal, and it competes with the trade above for the same roster slot.
Roster health: Duane Pitts is Questionable — monitor Friday's practice report. No action today.
Nine free agents cleared the pool but not the bar. Each was worth less than the worst player already on your bench under your scoring, so recommending them would cost you a roster spot for nothing.
How to read a card
Title odds
The modeled change in your championship probability, in percentage points, from 1,500 simulated seasons of your real remaining schedule. A blank or “too close to call” means the simulation can't separate it from zero.
GM impact
Bellcow's own 0–99 priority score. It breaks ties between moves whose title-odds effects are indistinguishable, and it is why a time-critical lineup fix can outrank a bigger long-run gain.
The bid
FAAB leagues get a dollar figure sized to your remaining budget and to what your league has actually been paying — never more than you have left. Priority leagues get claim-order advice instead: whether this is worth burning your #1.
Confidence
Comes from the engine's per-player data completeness for the players in your plan, then capped by how old the data is. It can never read better than the data behind it. What that measures →
The same week in a priority-waiver league
Dollar figures appear only in leagues that use FAAB. If Cornfield Coalition ran rolling waiver priority instead, card one would carry no bid and this line instead:
Claim order #1. Use your waiver priority here — 2 rivals need TE too. Backup claim only if you miss the primary: don't burn your #1 on him.
Nothing else about the plan changes. Every value in the product is recalculated from your league's own size, scoring, lineup slots and waiver system, so a claim that matters in a 14-team superflex is correctly ignored in a shallow 8-teamer.
The morning nothing is worth doing
This is the other half of the product, and the half most tools will never show you.
Nothing ringing today
Your roster is already the best version of itself. No free agent beats what you have and no trade improves both teams. Come back after waivers.
Bellcow charges once for the season, so it has nothing to gain from manufacturing urgency. On a quiet day it says so and you close the app.
See it against your own league
Get the Season Pass and run the whole thing on your own leagues — your real roster, your real free agents, your real first move. $19.99 once, covers you through January 5, and if it is not useful to you there is a 7-day refund, no questions asked.